2026-W29 · +0.7
The index moves only slightly this week. The main signals are benchmark-based: agent monitors may be vulnerable to persuasion, safeguards look brittle across biosecurity and multilingual settings, and there are signs of AI helping with coding and AI research workflows. There were no documented real-world catastrophic AI incidents in the dossier. Governance still looks partial, with concern about political will and international coordination but no clear new rollback.
A conventional composite index, not a scientific probability of extinction.