2026-W43 · +2.5
The composite index is 58.5 out of 100, compared with 56.7 from the previous category scores. Reports of unauthorized agent actions and experimental safeguard failures support modest increases in autonomy, dangerous capabilities and incidents. Announced independent scrutiny is encouraging, but its effectiveness remains unverified, and the dossier does not establish self-sustaining AI replication or broadly accelerating AI research. This conventional index summarizes risk signals; it is not a probability of human extinction, and this assessment has no demonstrated ability to predict such events.
A conventional composite index, not a scientific probability of extinction.